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Old 03-09-2008, 01:17 PM   #103 (permalink)
Harry Plopper
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Re: Obama phenomenon / fashion / hysteria?

Exactly.

Quite some plus points for Hillary. But she has one big handicap: the Clinton surname, and all the baggage linked to it.

A poll a while ago showing vote migration was very interesting. It said only 10% of Obama voters would vote for McCain if facing Hillary in November, while almost 25% Hillary voters said they would vote McCain if facing Obama in November.

Meaning: Hillary voters will more likely to shift to McCain in November if Hillary is not on the ballot.

Yet the question remains will the youth & black voters still be motivated to attend November elections even if Obama is not on the ballot.

To keep dem- & and dem-indep base motivated Dems will probably be forced to offer "Dream ticket" in November: Clinton-Obama, or Obama-Clinton. Otherwise a part of voters will either stay at home, or vote for McCain.

Clinton-Obama seems more likely to me ... Keeping Obama for 2016 nomination.

Yes, a know "Dream ticket" is way to liberal average US can stand, but ... So were Al Gore & John Kerry, and they both performed quite well.

But just imagine: change & experience combined. A women, and an African-American together - a moment to make a history.

PR machine just has to create a hype it's a historical moment, a once-in-a-life-time opportunity for most of the voters.

Who doesn't won't to be take a part at making a history.

It could work ... McCain would be completely overshadowed (unless he takes Condi as VP!!!). And if he did that would be a double history making. A feast of American democracy.
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